Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$29.4K
552 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 136 traders
Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $87.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs11 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+23 new YES$410+17 new NO$2.2K
$247 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $538 is directional: YES $527·NO $11YES Team
Total Invested
$533
Avg Win Rate
68.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$532(-99.8%)
Whales
10
M
M888◆Proven🥇
Entry 27¢·894.5 shares
Invested
$242
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-241
$-241INV $242 · WR 72.2%
I
Imaginative-Tribe-Bustle🥈
Entry 25¢·449.4 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
$-112
$-112INV $112 · WR 73.5%
R
Runner109🥉
Entry 28¢·355.7 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
$-100
$-100INV $100 · WR 63.0%
B
bubaleh
Entry 28¢·100 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $28 · WR 57.4%
S
StandardSatire
Entry 25¢·83.3 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $21 · WR 57.3%
S
spaceloaf
Entry 27¢·45 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $12 · WR 63.5%
T
tinman2
Entry 20¢·50 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 66.2%
N
nefariouskermithedged
Entry 71¢·8.7 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 55.1%
J
johnashbough◆Proven
Entry 12¢·17.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 56.2%
C
coypu
Entry 19¢·5.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 74.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$202
Avg Win Rate
78.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$83(+40.9%)
Whales
11
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 83¢·100 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $83 · WR 72.1%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 55¢·60.3 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $33 · WR 88.0%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 73¢·30 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $22 · WR 88.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 73¢·19.1 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $14 · WR 87.7%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 100¢·13.3 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $13 · WR 57.5%
T
thompsonmargaret
Entry 79¢·13.3 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
82.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $11 · WR 82.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 87.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 83¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 88.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 79¢·7.5 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $6 · WR 86.2%
N
nefariouskermithedged
Entry 12¢·10.8 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $1 · WR 55.1%
Showing top 10 of 11
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 621ms