Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6% or more?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$4.3K
172 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 51 traders
Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $73.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs8 NO
11%89%
89% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$28+2 new NO$190
$4 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $342 is directional: YES $6·NO $337YES Team
Total Invested
$6
Avg Win Rate
72.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-61.1%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$486
Avg Win Rate
78.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$52(+10.7%)
Whales
8
R
Rushwave🥇
Entry 94¢·358.6 shares
Invested
$337
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $337 · WR 76.0%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 57¢·60.3 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $34 · WR 88.0%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 95¢·33.8 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $32 · WR 79.6%
C
C.PM
Entry 96¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $29 · WR 85.8%
P
plainfolder
Entry 93¢·20.6 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 86.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 96¢·19.1 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $18 · WR 87.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 89.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 90¢·7.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 86.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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