Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 18% or more?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$679
50 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 25 traders
Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $81.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs7 NO
13%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$25
Avg Win Rate
60.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$24(-97.3%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$183
Avg Win Rate
81.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$54(+29.5%)
Whales
7
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 99¢·70 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $69 · WR 72.1%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 99¢·40 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $39 · WR 87.7%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 58¢·60.3 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $35 · WR 88.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 100¢·19.1 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $19 · WR 87.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 47¢·21.1 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $10 · WR 86.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 99¢·7.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 86.2%
S
Spectrumhedged
Entry 9¢·25 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $2 · WR 60.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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