Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?
YES Price
31¢
31% implied
NO Price
69¢
69% implied
Volume
$24.7K
481 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 124 traders
Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $74.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs9 NO
47%53%
53% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 76%· net of hedges
+23 new YES$1.4K+21 new NO$3.6K
$781 of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $686 is directional: YES $675·NO $11YES Team
Total Invested
$675
Avg Win Rate
71.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$134(+19.8%)
Whales
8
M
M888◆Proven🥇
Entry 28¢·1,672.2 shares
Invested
$465
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $465 · WR 72.2%
I
Imaginative-Tribe-Bustle🥈
Entry 25¢·449.4 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $112 · WR 73.9%
R
Runner109🥉
Entry 26¢·106.5 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $28 · WR 63.0%
B
bubaleh
Entry 28¢·100 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $28 · WR 57.4%
S
StandardSatire
Entry 25¢·83.3 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $21 · WR 57.3%
S
spaceloaf
Entry 27¢·45 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $12 · WR 64.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 8¢·107.9 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $9 · WR 79.6%
C
coypu
Entry 19¢·5.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 74.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$162
Avg Win Rate
82.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-1.3%)
Whales
9
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 83¢·70 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $58 · WR 72.1%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 55¢·60.3 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $33 · WR 88.0%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 73¢·30 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $22 · WR 88.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 73¢·19.1 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $14 · WR 87.7%
T
thompsonmargaret
Entry 79¢·13.3 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
82.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $11 · WR 82.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 · WR 87.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 83¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 88.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 79¢·7.5 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 86.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 39¢·0.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 86.2%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1ms (cached)