Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$8.8K
256 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 73 traders
Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $70.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs8 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$86+4 new NO$147
$159 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $32 is directional: YES $32·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$32
Avg Win Rate
66.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$13(+40.5%)
Whales
4
S
StandardSatire🥇
Entry 21¢·83.3 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $17 · WR 57.3%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 8¢·107.9 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $9 · WR 79.6%
M
Maximus374◆Proven🥉
Entry 20¢·25 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 72.7%
C
coypu
Entry 21¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 74.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$154
Avg Win Rate
82.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$29(+19.1%)
Whales
8
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 80¢·70 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $56 · WR 72.1%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 55¢·60.3 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $33 · WR 88.0%
H
haveagoodday🥉
Entry 79¢·30 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $24 · WR 87.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 79¢·19.1 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $15 · WR 87.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 88.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 77¢·7.5 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 86.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 14¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 86.2%
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