Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
37¢
37% implied
NO Price
63¢
63% implied
Volume
$3.3K
154 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 49 traders
Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $81.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs6 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 65% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+18 new YES$268+15 new NO$1.2K
$213 of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $26 is directional: YES $17·NO $9YES Team
Total Invested
$18
Avg Win Rate
69.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$75(+413.8%)
Whales
4
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 8¢·140 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $11 · WR 72.1%
S
spaceloaf🥈
Entry 12¢·45 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $5 · WR 64.1%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 7¢·20 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $1 · WR 69.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 3¢·20.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $1 · WR 79.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$96
Avg Win Rate
87.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$10(-10.4%)
Whales
6
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 57¢·60.3 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $34 · WR 88.0%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 73¢·40 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $29 · WR 87.7%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 89¢·19.1 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $17 · WR 87.7%
L
liverpoolfc◆Proven
Entry 90¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $9 · WR 81.3%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 92¢·7.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $7 · WR 86.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 11¢·0.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 86.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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