Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 15%-18%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$474
33 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 21 traders
Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $70.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs8 NO
11%89%
89% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $9 is directional: YES $9·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$9
Avg Win Rate
79.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$8(-92.2%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$181
Avg Win Rate
81.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$45(+24.9%)
Whales
8
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 99¢·70 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $70 · WR 72.1%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 58¢·60.3 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $35 · WR 88.0%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 86.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 100¢·19.1 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $19 · WR 87.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 88.9%
F
Flimsy-Handle
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 84.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 99¢·7.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
—
—INV $7 · WR 86.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 4¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 86.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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