Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?
YES Price
31¢
31% implied
NO Price
69¢
69% implied
Volume
$10.8K
309 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 81 traders
Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $81.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs8 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 43% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 71%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$653+12 new NO$1.3K
$401 of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $103 is directional: YES $44·NO $59YES Team
Total Invested
$44
Avg Win Rate
69.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$21(+47.6%)
Whales
4
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 20¢·140 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $28 · WR 72.1%
S
spaceloaf🥈
Entry 32¢·45 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $14 · WR 64.1%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 7¢·20.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $2 · WR 79.6%
R
romanew-crypto
Entry 24¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 66.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$179
Avg Win Rate
89.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$26(+14.4%)
Whales
8
R
RayGuy🥇
Entry 74¢·79.9 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
96.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $59 · WR 96.3%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 87¢·50 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $44 · WR 89.2%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 56¢·60.3 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $34 · WR 88.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 85¢·19.1 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $16 · WR 87.7%
A
aliiz
Entry 25¢·61.2 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $16 · WR 65.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 · WR 88.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 13¢·7.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1 · WR 86.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 15¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 86.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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