Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$4.8K
208 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 70 traders
Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $73.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs8 NO
11%89%
89% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%
+4 new YES$24+3 new NO$316
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $9 is directional: YES $9·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$9
Avg Win Rate
79.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-15.3%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$172
Avg Win Rate
81.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$29(+17.0%)
Whales
8
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 96¢·70 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $67 · WR 72.1%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 79¢·40.3 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $32 · WR 88.0%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 93¢·30 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $28 · WR 88.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 93¢·19.1 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $18 · WR 87.7%
F
Flimsy-Handle
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 84.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 90¢·7.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 86.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 86.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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