Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$604
55 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 26 traders
Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $81.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs6 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$112
Avg Win Rate
87.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$43(+38.3%)
Whales
6
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 58¢·60.3 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $35 · WR 88.0%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 96¢·31.1 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $30 · WR 86.2%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 100¢·19.1 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $19 · WR 87.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 88.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 88.7%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 100¢·7.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 86.2%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 386ms