Tech/AI49 days left
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$57.8K
1,376 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 229 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
24 MARKETS · $567.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
30¢−5¢$11.5K3/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher−5¢30¢
$11.5K3/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
7¢+10¢$4.0K1/5by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+10¢7¢
$4.0K1/5
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
30¢+17¢$50.4K8/9by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher+17¢30¢
$50.4K8/9
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
18¢+32¢$18.5K3/3by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+32¢18¢
$18.5K3/3
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
12¢+28¢$15.1K2/3by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+28¢12¢
$15.1K2/3
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
5¢−5¢$6.2K0/2by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher−5¢5¢
$6.2K0/2
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
57¢−4¢$68.3K9/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−4¢57¢
$68.3K9/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
45¢−23¢$42.3K2/7by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−23¢45¢
$42.3K2/7
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
24¢+9¢$38.6K2/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+9¢24¢
$38.6K2/4
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
22¢−2¢$23.4K1/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher−2¢22¢
$23.4K1/4
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
2¢−2¢$4.2K0/3by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher−2¢2¢
$4.2K0/3
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
41¢0¢$58.9K7/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher0¢41¢
$58.9K7/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
21¢+49¢$22.4K7/3by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+49¢21¢
$22.4K7/3
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
6¢+77¢$11.8K5/1by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+77¢6¢
$11.8K5/1
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
3¢−3¢$3.3K0/6by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher−3¢3¢
$3.3K0/6
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
91¢−24¢$43.3K8/4by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−24¢91¢
$43.3K8/4
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher←
51¢+2¢$57.8K9/8by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher←+2¢51¢
$57.8K9/8
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
26¢−4¢$29.5K2/7by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher−4¢26¢
$29.5K2/7
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
18¢−18¢$8.2K0/10by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher−18¢18¢
$8.2K0/10
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
72¢−39¢$26.1K2/4by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher−39¢72¢
$26.1K2/4
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
33¢+24¢$14.5K4/3by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+24¢33¢
$14.5K4/3
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
3¢+22¢$5.3K1/3by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+22¢3¢
$5.3K1/3
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs9 NO
53%47%
53% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 21% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 92%
+2 new YES$189+3 new NO$16
2 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$48 of $1.1K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $232·NO $863YES Team
Total Invested
$879
Avg Win Rate
65.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$346(+39.3%)
Whales
10
S
SteviaDaddy🥇hedged
Entry 45¢·613 shares·also $338 on NO
Invested
$276
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $276 · WR 57.6%
I
iutwpfal🥈hedged
Entry 26¢·745 shares·also $418 on NO
Invested
$191
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$186
+$186INV $191 · WR 74.1%
E
Extroverted-Development🥉
Entry 46¢·412 shares
Invested
$189
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $189 · WR 59.4%
V
viniihedged
Entry 22¢·414.5 shares·also $257 on NO
Invested
$92
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$117
+$117INV $92 · WR 66.8%
C
Computerdude111hedged
Entry 96¢·60 shares·also $99 on NO
Invested
$58
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $58 · WR 81.2%
A
arehovbrohedged
Entry 41¢·120 shares·also $24 on NO
Invested
$50
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $50 · WR 87.1%
9
98Ddd05Cde45d05C4fC06f4093759FFDDFSFFSDDVF
Entry 39¢·40 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $16 · WR 61.0%
H
Hujohn
Entry 60¢·6.6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 72.7%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 24¢·9.9 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $2 · WR 69.1%
B
BAO95889
Entry 24¢·7.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2 · WR 60.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
69.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$376(-18.8%)
Whales
9
O
Olcan🥇
Entry 61¢·808.1 shares
Invested
$492
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
$-113
$-113INV $492 · WR 76.6%
I
iutwpfal🥈hedged
Entry 56¢·745 shares·also $191 on YES
Invested
$418
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $418 · WR 74.1%
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥉
Entry 55¢·662.9 shares
Invested
$364
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $364 · WR 62.8%
S
SteviaDaddyhedged
Entry 55¢·613 shares·also $276 on YES
Invested
$338
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $338 · WR 57.6%
V
viniihedged
Entry 62¢·414.5 shares·also $92 on YES
Invested
$257
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-51
$-51INV $257 · WR 66.8%
C
Computerdude111hedged
Entry 165¢·60 shares·also $58 on YES
Invested
$99
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
$-70
$-70INV $99 · WR 81.2%
A
arehovbrohedged
Entry 60¢·40 shares·also $50 on YES
Invested
$24
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $24 · WR 87.1%
D
davisbrad
Entry 62¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 70.9%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 60¢·9.9 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$6
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 69.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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