Economics79 days left
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$142.7K
887 trades
Smart Whales
28
of 327 traders · 2 on both sides
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
20 MARKETS · $1.87M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027
3¢+40¢$20.1K9/12Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027+40¢3¢
$20.1K9/12
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027
2¢+27¢$57.3K12/30Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027+27¢2¢
$57.3K12/30
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027←
2¢+41¢$142.7K13/17Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027←+41¢2¢
$142.7K13/17
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027
9¢+35¢$44.2K17/22Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027+35¢9¢
$44.2K17/22
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027
6¢+20¢$81.2K6/17Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027+20¢6¢
$81.2K6/17
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027
76¢−29¢$142.5K26/29Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027−29¢76¢
$142.5K26/29
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027
2¢+31¢$23.0K6/12Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027+31¢2¢
$23.0K6/12
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027
3¢+15¢$2.4K2/9Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027+15¢3¢
$2.4K2/9
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027
1¢+20¢$5.2K3/11Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027+20¢1¢
$5.2K3/11
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027
2¢+31¢$28.4K5/10Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027+31¢2¢
$28.4K5/10
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027
1¢+46¢$13.3K7/8Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027+46¢1¢
$13.3K7/8
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027
2¢+18¢$7411/4Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027+18¢2¢
$7411/4
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027
2¢+23¢$107.6K5/15Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027+23¢2¢
$107.6K5/15
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027
2¢+23¢$132.6K5/15Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027+23¢2¢
$132.6K5/15
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027
2¢+31¢$21.3K9/18Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027+31¢2¢
$21.3K9/18
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027
2¢+40¢$42.3K10/14Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027+40¢2¢
$42.3K10/14
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027
2¢+35¢$226.3K20/34Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027+35¢2¢
$226.3K20/34
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027
3¢+46¢$369.8K34/36Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027+46¢3¢
$369.8K34/36
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Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs17 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 14 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$19 of $1.1K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $13·NO $1.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$181
Avg Win Rate
72.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$158(-87.1%)
Whales
13
X
XAE12Archangel🥇hedged
Entry 103¢·120.2 shares·also $24 on NO
Invested
$124
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
$-122
$-122INV $124 · WR 77.3%
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven🥈
Entry 100¢·26 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $26 · WR 56.3%
H
hitunfar🥉
Entry 3¢·370.5 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $11 · WR 61.1%
F
0xf5183756...hedged
Entry 4¢·114.1 shares·also $23 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
73.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 73.7%
H
hithitfarhedged
Entry 2¢·214.3 shares·also $272 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 59.7%
O
Oldfarmhedged
Entry 5¢·82.4 shares·also $76 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 61.0%
M
mlkop
Entry 97¢·1.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 71.7%
8
88mnm88
Entry 5¢·24.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 77.1%
X
Xixihaha008
Entry 5¢·21.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 56.8%
B
become52
Entry 6¢·3 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 65.4%
Showing top 10 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
63.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$487(+42.3%)
Whales
17
P
puravida🥇
Entry 95¢·603.9 shares
Invested
$576
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $576 · WR 59.9%
H
hithitfar🥈hedged
Entry 97¢·281.1 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$272
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $272 · WR 59.7%
O
Oldfarm🥉hedged
Entry 93¢·82.4 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$76
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $76 · WR 61.0%
S
Sardonic-Cue◆Proven
Entry 94¢·52.8 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $50 · WR 79.2%
W
werdarwat
Entry 97¢·50 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $49 · WR 85.0%
N
Naughty-Volunteer
Entry 97¢·32.9 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $32 · WR 72.4%
C
CastleRock
Entry 98¢·27.8 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $27 · WR 89.4%
X
XAE12Archangelhedged
Entry 20¢·122.2 shares·also $124 on YES
Invested
$24
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$96
+$96INV $24 · WR 77.3%
F
0xf5183756...hedged
Entry 95¢·24 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$23
Win Rate
73.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $23 · WR 73.7%
C
CrumpetCrusher
Entry 2¢·380 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$366
+$366INV $6 · WR 69.6%
Showing top 10 of 17
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