EconomicsResolved
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$22.02M
37,497 trades
Smart Whales
851
of 6,244 traders · 2 on both sides
Fed Decision in July?
7 MARKETS · $35.40M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting←
0¢+7¢$22.02M61/792by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting←+7¢0¢
$22.02M61/792
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+15¢$5.94M36/209by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+15¢0¢
$5.94M36/209
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
1¢+27¢$6.21M81/210by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+27¢1¢
$6.21M81/210
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢+18¢$552.4K14/61by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+18¢1¢
$552.4K14/61
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢+22¢$600.3K23/78by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting+22¢1¢
$600.3K23/78
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
61 YESvs792 NO
93%
93% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 57% YES by dollars · 51 YES vs 672 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$10 of $249.5K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $2 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $141.9K·NO $107.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$143.3K
Avg Win Rate
65.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$141.9K(-99.0%)
Whales
61
F
foodenjoyer🥇
Entry 25¢·332,705.2 shares
Invested
$82.9K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-82927
$-82927INV $82.9K · WR 60.2%
D
debased◆Proven🥈
Entry 23¢·130,346.8 shares
Invested
$29.8K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-29796
$-29796INV $29.8K · WR 65.9%
D
darlord🥉
Entry 19¢·82,036.8 shares
Invested
$15.7K
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
$-15692
$-15692INV $15.7K · WR 82.6%
X
XAE12Archangel
Entry 20¢·29,880.9 shares
Invested
$6.0K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
$-5976
$-5976INV $6.0K · WR 77.3%
R
risk-manager
Entry 0¢·2,703,321.2 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
$-2703
$-2703INV $2.7K · WR 73.6%
A
aenews2◆Proven
Entry 20¢·8,268 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-1654
$-1654INV $1.7K · WR 74.6%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 20¢·7,941 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-1588
$-1588INV $1.6K · WR 85.8%
P
poposub◆Proven
Entry 20¢·4,133.6 shares
Invested
$827
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
$-825
$-825INV $827 · WR 74.3%
A
Augusto87
Entry 1¢·28,763.2 shares
Invested
$201
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-188
$-188INV $201 · WR 60.0%
Y
YouSayUpISayDown
Entry 20¢·627 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-125
$-125INV $125 · WR 59.7%
Showing top 10 of 61
NO Team
Total Invested
$908.0K
Avg Win Rate
83.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.99M(+219.1%)
Whales
792
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 100¢·172,944 shares
Invested
$172.1K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$858
+$858INV $172.1K · WR 87.7%
D
Debosnys🥈
Entry 100¢·60,050 shares
Invested
$60.0K
Win Rate
90.3%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $60.0K · WR 90.3%
I
i18z🥉
Entry 99¢·60,126.7 shares
Invested
$59.5K
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$596
+$596INV $59.5K · WR 87.1%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 98¢·56,134 shares
Invested
$55.2K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$927
+$927INV $55.2K · WR 85.8%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 100¢·54,117.2 shares
Invested
$54.1K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $54.1K · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 99¢·52,686.1 shares
Invested
$52.3K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$360
+$360INV $52.3K · WR 79.6%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 100¢·40,021.8 shares
Invested
$39.9K
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$103
+$103INV $39.9K · WR 83.8%
F
Frayed-Focus
Entry 99¢·35,755.4 shares
Invested
$35.5K
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$238
+$238INV $35.5K · WR 61.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 99¢·32,806.9 shares
Invested
$32.6K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$189
+$189INV $32.6K · WR 72.2%
D
0xd32ce89f...◆Proven
Entry 100¢·31,726 shares
Invested
$31.6K
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
+$148
+$148INV $31.6K · WR 83.5%
Showing top 10 of 792
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