notawinner99 · Polymarket wallet 0x0978…3137

Wallet snapshot

notawinner99 has made 2,422 trades on Polymarket across 421 markets, $236K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (41%) and politics (25%). On 390 resolved markets the win rate is 82.1%, lifetime P&L +$4,563. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Oct 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $1,506 · 50¢ → 79¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $402 · 50¢ → 21¢
• Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?Yes · $353 · 26¢ → 100¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $141 · 71¢ → 71¢
• Daniel Dubois vs. Fabio WardleyYes · $126 · 76¢ → 74¢
• Weed rescheduled by December 31?Yes · $16 · 41¢ → 8¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?No · +$2 · Sep 16, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · +$963 · Sep 6, 2026
• Grok (Web) Outage by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$19 · Sep 4, 2026
• Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?No · +$5 · Sep 2, 2026
• Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes · +$96 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?No · +$6 · Aug 31, 2026
• Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?

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