Politics2 days left
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$315
18 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 20 traders
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory
18 MARKETS · $1.60M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs8 NO
11%89%
89% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+7 new YES$0+9 new NO$215
0 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $182 is directional: YES $182·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$182
Avg Win Rate
72.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$176(-96.3%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$180
Avg Win Rate
80.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-0.1%)
Whales
8
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 88.7%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 87.6%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 87.7%
G
glm4.1.fund
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
—
—INV $30 · WR 85.9%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 100¢·20.3 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 59.4%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 100¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 59.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 100¢·17.8 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $18 · WR 79.6%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 100¢·2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
—
—INV $2 · WR 56.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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