Politics2 days left
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$1.5K
23 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 22 traders
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory
18 MARKETS · $1.60M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs7 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%
+12 new YES$32+8 new NO$222
1 smart whale7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $116 is directional: YES $116·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$116
Avg Win Rate
71.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$74(-64.0%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$172
Avg Win Rate
79.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-0.0%)
Whales
7
H
haveagoodday🥇
Entry 99¢·60 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $59 · WR 86.6%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 87.6%
G
glm4.1.fund🥉
Entry 96¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $29 · WR 85.9%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 99¢·20.3 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 59.9%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 99¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 59.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 99¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 79.6%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 99¢·2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 59.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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