Politics19 days left
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$704
53 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 20 traders
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $19.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs4 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+5 new YES$1+5 new NO$235
1 smart whale3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $14 is directional: YES $14·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$14
Avg Win Rate
63.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$14(-98.5%)
Whales
4
P
Pure-Eyeliner🥇
Entry 11¢·83 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 56.4%
N
neverhackme🥈
Entry 11¢·39.9 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 75.9%
F
fourcoin15m🥉
Entry 11¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 84.4%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 0¢·20.6 shares·also $40 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 72.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$127
Avg Win Rate
69.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$87(+68.7%)
Whales
4
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat🥇
Entry 50¢·90.7 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $45 · WR 59.7%
B
balthazar🥈hedged
Entry 99¢·40 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$40
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $40 · WR 72.2%
G
glm404.fund🥉
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $30 · WR 85.9%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 50¢·24.2 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $12 · WR 59.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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