Politics19 days left
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
YES Price
48¢
48% implied
NO Price
52¢
52% implied
Volume
$4.6K
160 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 61 traders
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $19.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs13 NO
19%81%
81% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 22% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 55%· net of hedges
+28 new YES$2.3K+35 new NO$1.9K
$172 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $841 is directional: YES $181·NO $660YES Team
Total Invested
$181
Avg Win Rate
79.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-2.2%)
Whales
3
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor🥇
Entry 51¢·200 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $102 · WR 70.5%
U
UN-Sure◆Proven🥈
Entry 60¢·124.4 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
91.2%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $74 · WR 91.2%
N
neverhackme🥉
Entry 11¢·39.9 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $4 · WR 75.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
65.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$34(-2.8%)
Whales
13
S
sdhyky🥇
Entry 57¢·1,116.8 shares
Invested
$635
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $635 · WR 59.4%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 49¢·573.8 shares
Invested
$281
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $281 · WR 72.2%
G
glm404.fund🥉
Entry 50¢·198.8 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $99 · WR 85.9%
M
melchior1248
Entry 52¢·109.2 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $56 · WR 69.0%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 50¢·90.7 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $45 · WR 59.5%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 50¢·77.3 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $39 · WR 59.6%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 50¢·54.7 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $27 · WR 59.6%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 50¢·34.5 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $17 · WR 59.7%
K
Klanto
Entry 54¢·24.1 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $13 · WR 61.0%
A
Affectionate-Monger
Entry 54¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $11 · WR 79.7%
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