Politics19 days left
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$1.1K
72 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 20 traders
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $19.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+3 new YES$3+11 new NO$650
1 smart whale8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4 is directional: YES $4·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$5
Avg Win Rate
75.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$5(-90.5%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$368
Avg Win Rate
74.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$335(+91.0%)
Whales
10
G
glm404.fund🥇
Entry 50¢·198.8 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$98
+$98INV $99 · WR 85.9%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 50¢·177 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$88
+$88INV $88 · WR 87.7%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique🥉
Entry 50¢·172 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$85
+$85INV $86 · WR 59.7%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 100¢·40 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$40
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $40 · WR 72.2%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 50¢·42.7 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $21 · WR 59.6%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 50¢·24.1 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $12 · WR 59.7%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 50¢·18.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $9 · WR 56.4%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 50¢·12.2 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $6 · WR 59.7%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 50¢·12.1 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $6 · WR 59.8%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 0¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $0 · WR 84.4%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 2402ms