Politics19 days left
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$2.7K
114 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 43 traders
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $19.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs12 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$251+23 new NO$1.7K
$52 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $722 is directional: YES $93·NO $629YES Team
Total Invested
$93
Avg Win Rate
72.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-2.4%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.0K
Avg Win Rate
65.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$188(+17.9%)
Whales
12
S
sdhyky🥇
Entry 90¢·685.2 shares
Invested
$620
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $620 · WR 59.4%
G
glm404.fund🥈
Entry 58¢·168.8 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $97 · WR 85.9%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 50¢·177 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$71
+$71INV $88 · WR 87.7%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 85¢·102.8 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $88 · WR 59.7%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 73¢·81.3 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $59 · WR 59.7%
N
neverhackme
Entry 88¢·39.9 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $35 · WR 75.9%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 50¢·42.7 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $21 · WR 59.8%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 50¢·24.1 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $12 · WR 59.7%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 50¢·18.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $9 · WR 59.7%
A
Affectionate-Monger
Entry 90¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 79.7%
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