Politics19 days left
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$2.9K
121 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 41 traders
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $19.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs15 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges
+20 new YES$76+22 new NO$1.2K
$18 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale16 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $107 is directional: YES $7·NO $100YES Team
Total Invested
$7
Avg Win Rate
79.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$5(-78.1%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$765
Avg Win Rate
71.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$615(+80.5%)
Whales
15
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 51¢·553.7 shares
Invested
$284
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$261
+$261INV $284 · WR 72.2%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 50¢·271.6 shares
Invested
$136
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
+$132
+$132INV $136 · WR 69.0%
G
glm404.fund🥉
Entry 50¢·198.8 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$97
+$97INV $99 · WR 85.9%
G
GamGanapati
Entry 98¢·100 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $98 · WR 71.1%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 50¢·90.2 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $45 · WR 59.6%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 50¢·66.9 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $33 · WR 59.4%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 61¢·31.2 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $19 · WR 59.7%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 50¢·22.6 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $11 · WR 59.8%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 50¢·18.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $9 · WR 59.6%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 50¢·12.2 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $6 · WR 56.4%
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