Politics19 days left
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
YES Price
38¢
38% implied
NO Price
62¢
62% implied
Volume
$2.9K
130 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 53 traders
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $19.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs15 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 53%· net of hedges
+25 new YES$1.1K+24 new NO$1.2K
$124 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales15 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $371 is directional: YES $358·NO $13YES Team
Total Invested
$358
Avg Win Rate
60.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$12(+3.3%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$687
Avg Win Rate
74.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$107(+15.5%)
Whales
15
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 55¢·602.1 shares
Invested
$333
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $333 · WR 72.2%
G
glm404.fund🥈
Entry 51¢·189.4 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $96 · WR 85.9%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 50¢·177 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $88 · WR 87.7%
M
melchior1248
Entry 52¢·72.8 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $38 · WR 69.0%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 54¢·46.6 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $25 · WR 59.7%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 50¢·42.7 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $21 · WR 59.7%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 55¢·36.2 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $20 · WR 59.6%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 50¢·34.6 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $17 · WR 59.7%
A
Affectionate-Monger
Entry 62¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $12 · WR 79.7%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 50¢·18.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $9 · WR 59.4%
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