Politics19 days left
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$967
70 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 28 traders
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $19.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs13 NO
19%81%
81% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 81% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
+4 new YES$21+16 new NO$888
2 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $60 is directional: YES $49·NO $11YES Team
Total Invested
$49
Avg Win Rate
72.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$36(-74.1%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$624
Avg Win Rate
81.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$579(+92.8%)
Whales
13
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 50¢·590.1 shares
Invested
$295
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$279
+$279INV $295 · WR 87.7%
G
glm404.fund🥈
Entry 50¢·198.8 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$94
+$94INV $99 · WR 85.9%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 50¢·170 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$80
+$80INV $85 · WR 87.6%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 50¢·90.7 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $45 · WR 59.7%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 50¢·46.7 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $23 · WR 59.7%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 50¢·42.7 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $21 · WR 59.5%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 50¢·34.5 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $17 · WR 59.8%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 50¢·24.3 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $12 · WR 59.7%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 50¢·18.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $9 · WR 59.7%
M
Mijdel
Entry 98¢·8.8 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 83.1%
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