Politics3 days left
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?
YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$3.4K
68 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 47 traders
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory
18 MARKETS · $3.39M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs11 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 88% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 77%· net of hedges
+14 new YES$435+17 new NO$1.1K
$265 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $208 is directional: YES $183·NO $24YES Team
Total Invested
$183
Avg Win Rate
73.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$294(+160.6%)
Whales
5
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 7¢·1,585.3 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$299
+$299INV $106 · WR 72.1%
T
themain🥈
Entry 27¢·220 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $60 · WR 77.5%
M
Midas14🥉
Entry 28¢·40 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $11 · WR 74.6%
Z
zhukov26
Entry 24¢·20 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 61.7%
D
decacepa
Entry 27¢·7.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 78.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$110
Avg Win Rate
78.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$53(+48.5%)
Whales
11
M
melchior1248🥇
Entry 73¢·47.7 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $35 · WR 69.5%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 76¢·30 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $23 · WR 87.6%
G
glm4.1.fund🥉
Entry 75¢·30 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $23 · WR 85.9%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 63¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $13 · WR 84.7%
S
Secondary-Magic
Entry 75¢·13 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 65.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 73¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 79.6%
F
Famous-Sovereignty
Entry 83¢·2.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 86.2%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 76¢·2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 59.5%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 0¢·30 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $0 · WR 88.7%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 0¢·20 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $0 · WR 59.7%
Showing top 10 of 11
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 641ms