Politics2 days left
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$1.8K
32 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 27 traders
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory
18 MARKETS · $3.39M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs11 NO
8%92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 36% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$46+15 new NO$1.4K
$2 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $872 is directional: YES $317·NO $555YES Team
Total Invested
$317
Avg Win Rate
72.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$190(-60.0%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$731
Avg Win Rate
85.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$12(+1.7%)
Whales
11
A
archaic🥇
Entry 95¢·378.6 shares
Invested
$361
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $361 · WR 86.6%
M
MrNoItAll🥈
Entry 95¢·204.5 shares
Invested
$194
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $194 · WR 89.1%
G
glm4.1.fund🥉
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $30 · WR 85.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 98¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 87.6%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 98¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 86.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 98¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $29 · WR 88.1%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 98¢·20.3 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 59.7%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 98¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 56.9%
T
tzquantalpha001
Entry 98¢·11.6 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $11 · WR 66.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 99¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 79.6%
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