Politics2 days left
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?
YES Price
31¢
31% implied
NO Price
69¢
69% implied
Volume
$9.0K
101 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 63 traders
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory
18 MARKETS · $3.39M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs12 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 64% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$1.6K+30 new NO$5.5K
$235 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.5K is directional: YES $1.6K·NO $906YES Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
69.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$252(+15.5%)
Whales
5
S
Seeking-Alpha01🥇
Entry 27¢·4,228.7 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$203
+$203INV $1.1K · WR 67.4%
S
sciuboi🥈
Entry 30¢·1,292 shares
Invested
$388
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $388 · WR 72.2%
T
themain🥉
Entry 27¢·402.1 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $110 · WR 77.5%
D
donthackme
Entry 7¢·30 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $2 · WR 87.6%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 7¢·20 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $1 · WR 59.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
63.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$44(-3.7%)
Whales
12
P
puravida🥇
Entry 71¢·1,250 shares
Invested
$887
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $887 · WR 59.6%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 70¢·299.1 shares
Invested
$211
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $211 · WR 69.5%
G
glm4.1.fund🥉
Entry 77¢·30 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $23 · WR 85.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 76¢·30 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $23 · WR 86.1%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 72¢·30 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $22 · WR 86.6%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 80¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $16 · WR 84.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 72¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 79.6%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 72¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 59.5%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 72¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 59.9%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 72¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 59.7%
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