Politics2 days left
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?
YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$6.1K
47 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 42 traders
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory
18 MARKETS · $1.60M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs7 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 88% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$1.1K+25 new NO$4.5K
$42 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $153 is directional: YES $134·NO $18YES Team
Total Invested
$134
Avg Win Rate
72.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$259(+192.7%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$140
Avg Win Rate
79.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$6(-4.0%)
Whales
7
G
graynotebook19🥇
Entry 81¢·60 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $49 · WR 89.3%
G
glm4.1.fund🥈
Entry 90¢·30 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $27 · WR 85.9%
G
GingerMcKenna🥉
Entry 91¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $18 · WR 84.7%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 81¢·22.3 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $18 · WR 60.0%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 81¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $16 · WR 59.7%
M
melchior1248
Entry 77¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 69.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 91¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 79.6%
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