Economics80 days left
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$70.6K
1,865 trades
Smart Whales
81
of 271 traders · 1 on both sides
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
14 MARKETS · $6.65M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+18¢$154.5K14/64Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026+18¢0¢
$154.5K14/64
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+17¢$152.1K14/69Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026+17¢0¢
$152.1K14/69
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+21¢$154.5K15/58Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026+21¢0¢
$154.5K15/58
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+10¢$94.4K7/61Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026+10¢0¢
$94.4K7/61
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+25¢$181.2K26/79Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026+25¢0¢
$181.2K26/79
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026←
0¢+14¢$70.6K11/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026←+14¢0¢
$70.6K11/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026
0¢+18¢$500.9K15/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026+18¢0¢
$500.9K15/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+14¢$87.4K12/71Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026+14¢0¢
$87.4K12/71
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026
2¢+14¢$207.9K14/72Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026+14¢2¢
$207.9K14/72
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026
1¢+33¢$539.6K58/113Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026+33¢1¢
$539.6K58/113
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026
18¢+17¢$1.38M58/108Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026+17¢18¢
$1.38M58/108
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026
68¢−51¢$446.2K18/88Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026−51¢68¢
$446.2K18/88
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Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs71 NO
13%87%
87% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+2 new YES$0+3 new NO$25
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $14 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2·NO $11YES Team
Total Invested
$221
Avg Win Rate
70.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$186(-84.3%)
Whales
11
T
tinknows🥇hedged
Entry 92¢·200 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$184
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
$-184
$-184INV $184 · WR 70.6%
T
Tysha🥈
Entry 4¢·25.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 89.2%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever🥉hedged
Entry 7¢·10 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.6%
J
JoE
Entry 7¢·9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 76.3%
A
Anon321321321
Entry 6¢·4.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 85.0%
Q
quiddy
Entry 0¢·13.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 76.3%
Showing top 6 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.7K
Avg Win Rate
83.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$11.8K(+153.6%)
Whales
71
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 63¢·2,137.9 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$792
+$792INV $1.3K · WR 85.8%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 99¢·890.8 shares
Invested
$882
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $882 · WR 72.2%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 66¢·619 shares
Invested
$407
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$210
+$210INV $407 · WR 89.3%
I
i18z
Entry 99¢·369.9 shares
Invested
$366
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $366 · WR 87.1%
R
rated
Entry 95¢·344 shares
Invested
$326
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $326 · WR 87.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 99¢·241.4 shares
Invested
$240
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $240 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 99¢·239.7 shares
Invested
$238
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $238 · WR 85.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 99¢·241 shares
Invested
$238
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $238 · WR 88.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 99¢·239.8 shares
Invested
$238
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $238 · WR 79.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 99¢·228 shares
Invested
$227
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $227 · WR 88.7%
Showing top 10 of 71
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