Economics59 days left

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

2¢

2% implied

NO Price

98¢

98% implied

Volume

$23.7K

283 trades

Smart Whales

18

of 120 traders

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

20 MARKETS · $1.91M MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027

2¢+42¢$21.2K8/10

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027+42¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027

2¢+30¢$58.8K12/25

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027+30¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027

2¢+37¢$142.7K11/17

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027+37¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027

2¢+56¢$52.4K21/15

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027+56¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027

2¢+20¢$82.2K4/14

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027+20¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027

70¢−23¢$151.0K21/24

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027−23¢70¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027←

2¢+35¢$23.7K7/12

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027←+35¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+27¢$2.5K4/10

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027+27¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+18¢$5.7K3/12

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027+18¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+36¢$28.4K6/10

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027+36¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027

1¢+49¢$13.3K8/8

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027+49¢1¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027

2¢+12¢$7621/6

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027+12¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+25¢$110.5K6/16

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027+25¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+24¢$132.6K6/17

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027+24¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027

2¢+31¢$21.4K9/18

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027+31¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+41¢$43.8K9/12

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027+41¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+39¢$233.6K21/30

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027+39¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027

2¢+42¢$379.3K32/41

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027+42¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+42¢$325.2K25/32

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027+42¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+43¢$82.4K20/24

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027+43¢2¢

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Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs12 NO

33%67%

67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 8 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.6K is directional: YES $2·NO $1.6K

YES Team

Total Invested

$59

Avg Win Rate

62.7%

Aggregate P&L

-$57(-96.8%)

Whales

6

JT716🥇hedged

Entry 93¢·30 shares·also $4 on NO

$-27INV $28 · WR 65.4%

Entry 111¢·14.3 shares

$-16INV $16 · WR 61.0%

podairpod🥉hedged

Entry 85¢·15.3 shares·also $6 on NO

$-13INV $13 · WR 59.1%

Entry 11¢·11 shares

$-1INV $1 · WR 56.9%

Entry 11¢·10 shares

$-1INV $1 · WR 66.8%

Entry 3¢·3 shares

—INV $0 · WR 57.6%

NO Team

Total Invested

$1.7K

Avg Win Rate

62.5%

Aggregate P&L

+$74(+4.2%)

Whales

12

Entry 97¢·934.9 shares

+$2INV $908 · WR 58.2%

Entry 97¢·500 shares

+$2INV $487 · WR 66.1%

BikesarethebestProven🥉

Entry 94¢·163.7 shares

+$6INV $154 · WR 56.3%

Entry 97¢·100 shares

+$0INV $97 · WR 73.8%

Entry 93¢·86.5 shares

+$4INV $81 · WR 87.1%

podairpodhedged

Entry 39¢·15.3 shares·also $13 on YES

+$9INV $6 · WR 59.1%

Elias.Thornwell

Entry 97¢·5.2 shares

+$0INV $5 · WR 67.7%

Entry 14¢·30 shares·also $28 on YES

+$25INV $4 · WR 65.4%

DEGENKHANProven

Entry 98¢·3 shares

—INV $3 · WR 66.5%

Entry 97¢·1 shares

—INV $1 · WR 82.5%

Showing top 10 of 12

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