Economics78 days left

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027?

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YES Price

2¢

2% implied

NO Price

98¢

98% implied

Volume

$28.4K

278 trades

Smart Whales

15

of 123 traders

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

20 MARKETS · $1.87M MATCHED

Smart Money

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027

3¢+40¢$20.1K9/12

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027+40¢3¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027

2¢+27¢$57.3K12/30

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027+27¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027

2¢+41¢$142.7K13/17

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027+41¢2¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027

14¢+30¢$44.3K17/22

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027+30¢14¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027

4¢+22¢$81.2K6/17

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027+22¢4¢

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027

75¢−28¢$142.5K26/29

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027−28¢75¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+31¢$23.0K6/12

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027+31¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027

3¢+15¢$2.4K2/9

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027+15¢3¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027

1¢+20¢$5.2K3/11

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027+20¢1¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027←

2¢+31¢$28.4K5/10

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027←+31¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027

1¢+46¢$13.3K7/8

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027+46¢1¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027

2¢+18¢$7411/4

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027+18¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+23¢$107.6K5/15

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027+23¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+23¢$132.6K5/15

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027+23¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027

2¢+31¢$21.3K9/18

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027+31¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027

2¢+40¢$42.3K10/14

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027+40¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027

2¢+35¢$226.3K20/34

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027+35¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027

3¢+46¢$369.9K34/36

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027+46¢3¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027

2¢+45¢$322.4K27/31

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027+45¢2¢

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027

4¢+40¢$82.2K18/23

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027+40¢4¢

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Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs10 NO

33%67%

67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 8 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $564 is directional: YES $7·NO $558

YES Team

Total Invested

$54

Avg Win Rate

71.3%

Aggregate P&L

-$49(-90.0%)

Whales

5

XAE12Archangel🥇hedged

Entry 93¢·28 shares·also $6 on NO

$-25INV $26 · WR 77.3%

DEGENKHAN🥈hedged

Entry 95¢·22.5 shares·also $2 on NO

$-21INV $21 · WR 66.6%

Entry 3¢·203.3 shares

$-2INV $6 · WR 61.0%

Entry 10¢·10 shares

$-1INV $1 · WR 75.2%

Entry 10¢·1 shares

$-0INV $0 · WR 56.8%

NO Team

Total Invested

$566

Avg Win Rate

90.4%

Aggregate P&L

+$97(+17.2%)

Whales

10

Entry 96¢·303 shares

+$5INV $291 · WR 97.6%

valeriafronzo🥈

Entry 97¢·59 shares

+$1INV $57 · WR 77.8%

Entry 99¢·54.1 shares

$-0INV $53 · WR 69.2%

Entry 98¢·48.8 shares

$-0INV $48 · WR 95.0%

Entry 99¢·41.7 shares

$-0INV $41 · WR 91.7%

Entry 99¢·41 shares

$-0INV $41 · WR 93.3%

Entry 90¢·19.6 shares

+$2INV $18 · WR 66.8%

Sardonic-CueProven

Entry 91¢·8.9 shares

+$1INV $8 · WR 79.2%

XAE12Archangelhedged

Entry 8¢·78 shares·also $26 on YES

+$70INV $6 · WR 77.3%

DEGENKHANhedged

Entry 7¢·22.5 shares·also $21 on YES

+$20INV $2 · WR 66.6%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 33% YES: the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5%…