Economics76 days left
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
YES Price
1ยข
1% implied
NO Price
99ยข
99% implied
Volume
$482.4K
1,443 trades
Smart Whales
66
of 232 traders ยท 1 on both sides
Fed Decision in January?
11 MARKETS ยท $16.65M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
89ยขโ19ยข$7.99M282/123by 25 bps after the December 2026 meetingโ19ยข89ยข
$7.99M282/123
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
10ยข+18ยข$5.41M66/170by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+18ยข10ยข
$5.41M66/170
by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting
0ยข+15ยข$515.2K10/57by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting+15ยข0ยข
$515.2K10/57
by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting
0ยข+31ยข$556.5K22/48by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting+31ยข0ยข
$556.5K22/48
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting
37ยขโ1ยข$702.8K36/64Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meetingโ1ยข37ยข
$702.8K36/64
by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting
63ยขโ38ยข$812.5K23/70by 25 bps after the January 2027 meetingโ38ยข63ยข
$812.5K23/70
by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meetingโ
1ยข+20ยข$482.4K14/53by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meetingโ+20ยข1ยข
$482.4K14/53
by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting
63ยขโ56ยข$104.6K3/39by 25 bps after the March 2027 meetingโ56ยข63ยข
$104.6K3/39
by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting
1ยข+15ยข$23.5K6/31by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting+15ยข1ยข
$23.5K6/31
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs52 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 31% YES by dollars ยท 14 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%ยท net of hedges
+18 new YES$821+32 new NO$23.7K
$10 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer โ left out of momentum
3 smart whales20 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$215 of $3.0K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $855ยทNO $1.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$962
Avg Win Rate
68.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$174(-18.1%)
Whales
15
R
RememberAmalekโProven๐ฅ
Entry 1ยขยท38,805.5 shares
Invested
$473
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
$-85
$-85INV $473 ยท WR 65.6%
M
melonmanmโProven๐ฅ
Entry 2ยขยท8,153.8 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $129 ยท WR 70.4%
D
Donkov๐ฅ
Entry 1ยขยท23,057.9 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$104
+$104INV $115 ยท WR 69.4%
E
e46m3hedged
Entry 20ยขยท536.5 sharesยทalso $2.0K on NO
Invested
$107
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-102
$-102INV $107 ยท WR 79.2%
E
enrico-vasaio
Entry 1ยขยท5,467.4 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $52 ยท WR 63.2%
C
Capital-Endoderm
Entry 1ยขยท3,999.5 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $45 ยท WR 59.5%
L
luciebot
Entry 20ยขยท99 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
80.5%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $20 ยท WR 80.5%
J
JordanMooneyโProven
Entry 13ยขยท50.1 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 ยท WR 85.0%
T
Tee1000
Entry 10ยขยท40.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 ยท WR 82.0%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 1ยขยท210.8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 ยท WR 68.1%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$102.7K
Avg Win Rate
82.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$118.6K(+115.5%)
Whales
52
B
balthazar๐ฅ
Entry 99ยขยท15,919.2 shares
Invested
$15.8K
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $15.8K ยท WR 71.9%
B
Bigggggggg๐ฅ
Entry 99ยขยท15,450.6 shares
Invested
$15.3K
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $15.3K ยท WR 85.7%
L
Lucerys๐ฅ
Entry 99ยขยท10,078.2 shares
Invested
$10.0K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10.0K ยท WR 87.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 99ยขยท8,083.9 shares
Invested
$8.0K
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $8.0K ยท WR 87.4%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 99ยขยท7,707.9 shares
Invested
$7.6K
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $7.6K ยท WR 86.1%
D
0xd32ce89f...โProven
Entry 99ยขยท7,582.2 shares
Invested
$7.5K
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $7.5K ยท WR 83.1%
A
alex20011
Entry 42ยขยท15,199.2 shares
Invested
$6.4K
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
+$8682
+$8682INV $6.4K ยท WR 74.8%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 99ยขยท4,899.3 shares
Invested
$4.9K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $4.9K ยท WR 87.7%
Z
zerone777
Entry 22ยขยท14,967.9 shares
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
+$11615
+$11615INV $3.2K ยท WR 80.7%
A
akroll
Entry 14ยขยท23,420.5 shares
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
+$20036
+$20036INV $3.2K ยท WR 81.0%
Showing top 10 of 52
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