EconomicsResolved
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$19.74M
29,452 trades
Smart Whales
617
of 3,944 traders · 3 on both sides
Fed Decision in September?
7 MARKETS · $33.13M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting←
0¢+18¢$19.74M112/508by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting←+18¢0¢
$19.74M112/508
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+15¢$5.94M36/209by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+15¢0¢
$5.94M36/209
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
1¢+27¢$6.21M81/210by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+27¢1¢
$6.21M81/210
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢+18¢$552.4K14/61by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+18¢1¢
$552.4K14/61
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢+22¢$600.3K23/78by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting+22¢1¢
$600.3K23/78
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
112 YESvs508 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 83% YES by dollars · 61 YES vs 356 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$10 of $167.4K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $139.0K·NO $28.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$141.1K
Avg Win Rate
75.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$139.0K(-98.5%)
Whales
112
X
XAE12Archangel🥇
Entry 16¢·242,845.9 shares
Invested
$39.7K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
$-39730
$-39730INV $39.7K · WR 77.3%
T
Trump2028🥈
Entry 25¢·62,939.1 shares
Invested
$15.7K
Win Rate
94.9%
Position P&L
$-15703
$-15703INV $15.7K · WR 94.9%
R
Ronaldo2100🥉
Entry 22¢·56,409.2 shares
Invested
$12.4K
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-12410
$-12410INV $12.4K · WR 66.1%
O
Orioncast
Entry 50¢·19,000 shares
Invested
$9.5K
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-9491
$-9491INV $9.5K · WR 62.5%
D
debased◆Proven
Entry 20¢·43,830.8 shares
Invested
$8.8K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-8766
$-8766INV $8.8K · WR 65.9%
T
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
Entry 25¢·29,731 shares
Invested
$7.4K
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-7380
$-7380INV $7.4K · WR 88.7%
A
Anjun◆Proven
Entry 22¢·33,333 shares
Invested
$7.3K
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-7278
$-7278INV $7.3K · WR 58.8%
J
JJo
Entry 22¢·30,000 shares
Invested
$6.6K
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
$-6604
$-6604INV $6.6K · WR 76.6%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 20¢·30,252.8 shares
Invested
$6.1K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-6051
$-6051INV $6.1K · WR 85.8%
K
KSKK
Entry 21¢·24,251.8 shares
Invested
$5.2K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-5142
$-5142INV $5.2K · WR 71.4%
Showing top 10 of 112
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.25M
Avg Win Rate
76.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.92M(+233.4%)
Whales
508
F
foodenjoyer🥇
Entry 37¢·703,667.9 shares
Invested
$258.3K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$445378
+$445378INV $258.3K · WR 60.2%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 66¢·227,051.3 shares
Invested
$149.2K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$77807
+$77807INV $149.2K · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 67¢·198,740.3 shares
Invested
$132.3K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$66453
+$66453INV $132.3K · WR 85.9%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 99¢·93,673 shares
Invested
$92.8K
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$904
+$904INV $92.8K · WR 88.2%
Q
QMG-CORE
Entry 33¢·270,982.1 shares
Invested
$90.0K
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$180978
+$180978INV $90.0K · WR 81.2%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 100¢·8,191.9 shares
Invested
$8.2K
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $8.2K · WR 68.2%
F
Frigg
Entry 0¢·585,543.4 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
+$583395
+$583395INV $2.1K · WR 77.7%
6
0x6ca81ba804430c82a7be978E57c550a0b701D776
Entry 100¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $2.0K · WR 85.3%
V
VortexTrading
Entry 99¢·1,762.5 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $1.7K · WR 83.9%
O
ok-2
Entry 98¢·1,333.3 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
94.9%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $1.3K · WR 94.9%
Showing top 10 of 508
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