ok-2 · Polymarket wallet 0xb8c7…8344

Wallet snapshot

ok-2 has made 83 trades on Polymarket across 42 markets, $53K in volume. Most of it is in economics (36%) and crypto (24%). On 39 resolved markets the win rate is 94.9%, lifetime P&L +$883. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Sep 17, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $1,016 · 96¢ → 98¢
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · $725 · 96¢ → 99¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes · $92 · 86¢ → 72¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes · -$19 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes · +$9 · Sep 24, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · +$32 · Sep 16, 2026
• Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · +$617 · Jul 20, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No · +$7 · Jun 17, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No · +$19 · May 1, 2026
• Will the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes · +$11 · May 1, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No · +$11 · Mar 18, 2026
• Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No · +$6 · Mar 12, 2026
• Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No · +$2 · Feb 4, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.