EconomicsResolved
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$154.68M
71,802 trades
Smart Whales
1900
of 14,896 traders
Fed decision in March?
7 MARKETS · $167.92M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
20¢+34¢$7.51M322/278by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+34¢20¢
$7.51M322/278
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+18¢$4.38M53/245by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+18¢0¢
$4.38M53/245
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
76¢−36¢$775.8K65/99by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting−36¢76¢
$775.8K65/99
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
3¢+12¢$419.5K14/78by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+12¢3¢
$419.5K14/78
by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting
33¢−9¢$113.8K15/47by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting−9¢33¢
$113.8K15/47
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
619 YESvs1281 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.2K is directional: YES $2.2K·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$596.0K
Avg Win Rate
91.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$159.4K(-26.7%)
Whales
619
H
HH168🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·83,591.9 shares·also $5.7K on NO
Invested
$82.9K
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
$-82879
$-82879INV $82.9K · WR 86.9%
O
oklr🥈hedged
Entry 99¢·74,026.4 shares·also $395 on NO
Invested
$73.6K
Win Rate
96.2%
Position P&L
$-73632
$-73632INV $73.6K · WR 96.2%
I
Immense-Predecessor🥉
Entry 17¢·13,015 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-2169
$-2169INV $2.2K · WR 89.0%
W
wkmfa518hedged
Entry 0¢·191,216.8 shares·also $189.1K on NO
Invested
$627
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-627
$-627INV $627 · WR 85.0%
P
PocketAcesAA
Entry 1¢·3,452.1 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $46 · WR 56.5%
F
FreeCityIndividual◆Proven
Entry 2¢·800 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 63.9%
B
BigFishSushiChief◆Proven
Entry 0¢·500 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
93.8%
Position P&L
—
—INV $0 · WR 93.8%
Showing top 7 of 619
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.85M
Avg Win Rate
80.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$12.36M(+211.2%)
Whales
1,281
C
CongMingLabs🥇
Entry 100¢·4,362,801.8 shares
Invested
$4.36M
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
+$4363
+$4363INV $4.36M · WR 81.0%
W
wkmfa518🥈hedged
Entry 99¢·191,216.8 shares·also $627 on YES
Invested
$189.1K
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$2093
+$2093INV $189.1K · WR 85.0%
D
debased◆Proven🥉
Entry 100¢·100,199 shares
Invested
$99.9K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$281
+$281INV $99.9K · WR 65.9%
X
XAE12Archangel
Entry 2¢·6,029,856.5 shares
Invested
$91.9K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$5937986
+$5937986INV $91.9K · WR 77.3%
T
T05AI
Entry 98¢·87,724.5 shares
Invested
$86.3K
Win Rate
95.5%
Position P&L
+$1415
+$1415INV $86.3K · WR 95.5%
F
foodenjoyer
Entry 19¢·422,332.3 shares
Invested
$79.0K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$343301
+$343301INV $79.0K · WR 60.2%
R
risk-manager
Entry 2¢·476,617 shares
Invested
$10.3K
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
+$466363
+$466363INV $10.3K · WR 73.6%
7
7G-MAN
Entry 0¢·2,021,583.1 shares
Invested
$8.8K
Win Rate
92.5%
Position P&L
+$2012819
+$2012819INV $8.8K · WR 92.5%
H
HH168hedged
Entry 2¢·292,036.7 shares·also $82.9K on YES
Invested
$5.7K
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
+$286311
+$286311INV $5.7K · WR 86.9%
4
0x4c2966a1...
Entry 1¢·831,665.5 shares
Invested
$4.9K
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$826796
+$826796INV $4.9K · WR 76.0%
Showing top 10 of 1,281
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