EconomicsResolved
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$63.11M
88,358 trades
Smart Whales
745
of 17,078 traders
Fed decision in April?
7 MARKETS · $76.09M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
17¢+37¢$7.30M322/278by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+37¢17¢
$7.30M322/278
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+18¢$4.37M53/245by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+18¢0¢
$4.37M53/245
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
75¢−35¢$763.2K65/99by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting−35¢75¢
$763.2K65/99
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
3¢+12¢$419.5K14/78by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+12¢3¢
$419.5K14/78
by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting
32¢−8¢$91.0K15/47by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting−8¢32¢
$91.0K15/47
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
156 YESvs589 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $25 is directional: YES $25·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$32.3K
Avg Win Rate
66.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$503(-1.6%)
Whales
156
D
debased🥇hedged
Entry 2¢·30,513.2 shares·also $227.6K on NO
Invested
$478
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-478
$-478INV $478 · WR 65.9%
G
George.Smiley🥈
Entry 2¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 68.4%
X
XAE12Archangel🥉
Entry 0¢·8.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 77.3%
Showing top 3 of 156
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.52M
Avg Win Rate
89.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.40M(+21.4%)
Whales
589
B
BigFishSushiChief◆Proven🥇
Entry 99¢·4,113,116.1 shares
Invested
$4.08M
Win Rate
93.8%
Position P&L
+$32701
+$32701INV $4.08M · WR 93.8%
I
influenz.eth🥈
Entry 80¢·836,128.7 shares
Invested
$668.1K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$167992
+$167992INV $668.1K · WR 85.8%
D
debased🥉hedged
Entry 99¢·229,762.3 shares·also $478 on YES
Invested
$227.6K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$2202
+$2202INV $227.6K · WR 65.9%
F
foodenjoyer
Entry 99¢·169,696.7 shares
Invested
$168.1K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$1633
+$1633INV $168.1K · WR 60.2%
P
Protruder
Entry 99¢·157,149.1 shares
Invested
$155.8K
Win Rate
78.8%
Position P&L
+$1390
+$1390INV $155.8K · WR 78.8%
R
rwo
Entry 100¢·150,000 shares
Invested
$149.8K
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
+$150
+$150INV $149.8K · WR 83.1%
A
AgricultureSecretary◆Proven
Entry 100¢·141,225.5 shares
Invested
$141.1K
Win Rate
91.2%
Position P&L
+$141
+$141INV $141.1K · WR 91.2%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 98¢·128,613 shares
Invested
$126.6K
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$1991
+$1991INV $126.6K · WR 83.8%
S
Siziriv◆Proven
Entry 65¢·135,774.1 shares
Invested
$87.8K
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$47961
+$47961INV $87.8K · WR 89.2%
R
rated
Entry 60¢·101,559 shares
Invested
$61.2K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$40407
+$40407INV $61.2K · WR 87.7%
Showing top 10 of 589
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