EconomicsResolved
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$56.26M
89,177 trades
Smart Whales
867
of 5,415 traders · 1 on both sides
Fed Decision in September?
7 MARKETS · $69.64M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting←
0¢+30¢$56.26M261/607by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting←+30¢0¢
$56.26M261/607
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+15¢$5.93M36/209by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+15¢0¢
$5.93M36/209
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
1¢+27¢$6.21M81/210by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+27¢1¢
$6.21M81/210
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢+18¢$552.4K14/61by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+18¢1¢
$552.4K14/61
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢+22¢$600.3K23/78by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting+22¢1¢
$600.3K23/78
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
261 YESvs607 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 92 YES vs 349 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$18 of $209.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $21.9K·NO $187.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$498.4K
Avg Win Rate
81.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$349.5K(-70.1%)
Whales
261
U
Upright-Snug🥇
Entry 31¢·579,999.7 shares
Invested
$181.5K
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
$-181467
$-181467INV $181.5K · WR 80.1%
D
Detailed-Poison🥈
Entry 102¢·141,881.7 shares
Invested
$144.8K
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-144846
$-144846INV $144.8K · WR 86.2%
F
Frayed-Focus🥉
Entry 46¢·17,015.2 shares
Invested
$7.8K
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-7823
$-7823INV $7.8K · WR 61.1%
A
Anjun◆Proven
Entry 22¢·33,333 shares
Invested
$7.3K
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-7278
$-7278INV $7.3K · WR 58.8%
O
Odin-Hearth
Entry 2¢·333,863.2 shares
Invested
$5.2K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-5236
$-5236INV $5.2K · WR 61.2%
N
notlosecrypto
Entry 1¢·145,027.7 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-1280
$-1280INV $1.3K · WR 66.7%
Y
YouSayUpISayDown
Entry 20¢·1,592 shares
Invested
$318
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-318
$-318INV $318 · WR 59.7%
J
JabamiYumekosRBQ
Entry 2¢·13,199.9 shares
Invested
$318
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
$-318
$-318INV $318 · WR 63.0%
Q
Quick-Witted-Millennium
Entry 0¢·34,333.3 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
$-91
$-91INV $106 · WR 90.0%
B
Brief-Deep
Entry 0¢·33,333.3 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
$-88
$-88INV $103 · WR 83.3%
Showing top 10 of 261
NO Team
Total Invested
$10.70M
Avg Win Rate
73.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.81M(+63.7%)
Whales
607
T
TheReturnOfDarthMaul🥇
Entry 60¢·5,107,220 shares
Invested
$3.08M
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
+$2023852
+$2023852INV $3.08M · WR 62.7%
E
elmcap2🥈
Entry 99¢·2,757,036.6 shares
Invested
$2.74M
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$15837
+$15837INV $2.74M · WR 88.8%
T
ThePrinceThatWasPromised🥉
Entry 65¢·1,536,599.2 shares
Invested
$993.5K
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$543147
+$543147INV $993.5K · WR 62.9%
T
TheyAreTakingTheHobitsToIsengard
Entry 98¢·417,326.2 shares
Invested
$410.6K
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$6740
+$6740INV $410.6K · WR 65.6%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 57¢·402,276.7 shares
Invested
$229.8K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$172518
+$172518INV $229.8K · WR 85.8%
D
debased◆Proven
Entry 100¢·223,990.2 shares
Invested
$223.1K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$888
+$888INV $223.1K · WR 65.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 98¢·205,489.7 shares
Invested
$202.1K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$3354
+$3354INV $202.1K · WR 87.7%
F
Flipadelphia
Entry 100¢·200,000 shares
Invested
$199.5K
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$525
+$525INV $199.5K · WR 56.8%
Z
zb8
Entry 100¢·188,895.8 shares
Invested
$188.5K
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$378
+$378INV $188.5K · WR 59.4%
Q
QMG-CORE
Entry 98¢·176,053 shares
Invested
$173.2K
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$2881
+$2881INV $173.2K · WR 81.2%
Showing top 10 of 607
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 490ms