Geopolitics80 days left
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
YES Price
9¢
9% implied
NO Price
91¢
91% implied
Volume
$340.5K
4,376 trades
Smart Whales
69
of 497 traders
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
6 MARKETS · $1.24M MATCHEDSmart Money
a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium
10¢+35¢$186.4K21/26a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium+35¢10¢
$186.4K21/26
any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)
14¢+29¢$221.0K23/30any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)+29¢14¢
$221.0K23/30
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
26 YESvs43 NO
38%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 25 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $9.1K is directional: YES $394·NO $8.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$16.6K
Avg Win Rate
62.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$14.5K(-87.2%)
Whales
26
P
paddaa🥇
Entry 164¢·5,850.9 shares
Invested
$9.6K
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-9080
$-9080INV $9.6K · WR 61.1%
P
peterfromfamilyguy🥈hedged
Entry 91¢·3,166.1 shares·also $401 on NO
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-2610
$-2610INV $2.9K · WR 60.5%
V
vinii🥉hedged
Entry 28¢·5,484.3 shares·also $2.6K on NO
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-1055
$-1055INV $1.5K · WR 65.8%
C
Capital-Endodermhedged
Entry 90¢·972.3 shares·also $158 on NO
Invested
$873
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-790
$-790INV $873 · WR 60.4%
C
Chimshedged
Entry 86¢·657.5 shares·also $88 on NO
Invested
$562
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-506
$-506INV $562 · WR 85.2%
7
0x7678aa83...
Entry 43¢·536 shares
Invested
$231
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-186
$-186INV $231 · WR 56.5%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 39¢·296.4 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-91
$-91INV $116 · WR 69.8%
N
neetbets◆Proven
Entry 47¢·176.2 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
78.5%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $83 · WR 78.5%
B
badatthis
Entry 15¢·500 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $75 · WR 64.0%
S
SusanWarrenHR◆Proven
Entry 16¢·250 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $40 · WR 67.5%
Showing top 10 of 26
NO Team
Total Invested
$13.4K
Avg Win Rate
66.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$7.1K(+53.1%)
Whales
43
V
Valen9🥇
Entry 88¢·5,000 shares
Invested
$4.4K
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$175
+$175INV $4.4K · WR 61.5%
V
vinii🥈hedged
Entry 45¢·5,783.9 shares·also $1.5K on YES
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$2670
+$2670INV $2.6K · WR 65.8%
G
GollumGekko◆Proven🥉
Entry 85¢·1,310.7 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$91
+$91INV $1.1K · WR 75.9%
S
Sticky-Closing
Entry 30¢·3,197.3 shares
Invested
$951
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$1975
+$1975INV $951 · WR 62.5%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 84¢·734.4 shares
Invested
$616
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $616 · WR 74.2%
N
Newshound
Entry 74¢·813.5 shares
Invested
$602
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$142
+$142INV $602 · WR 57.1%
P
PMTraderAdam◆Proven
Entry 88¢·529.7 shares
Invested
$464
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $464 · WR 79.5%
P
peterfromfamilyguyhedged
Entry 29¢·1,389 shares·also $2.9K on YES
Invested
$401
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
+$870
+$870INV $401 · WR 60.5%
C
controls◆Proven
Entry 85¢·352.9 shares
Invested
$300
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $300 · WR 72.2%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven
Entry 61¢·322 shares
Invested
$196
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$98
+$98INV $196 · WR 90.9%
Showing top 10 of 43
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