EconomicsResolved
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$57.65M
88,556 trades
Smart Whales
2354
of 20,110 traders
Fed decision in March?
7 MARKETS · $71.43M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+15¢$5.94M36/209by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+15¢0¢
$5.94M36/209
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
1¢+27¢$6.58M81/210by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+27¢1¢
$6.58M81/210
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
0¢+19¢$560.4K14/61by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+19¢0¢
$560.4K14/61
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢+22¢$601.4K23/78by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting+22¢1¢
$601.4K23/78
by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting
1¢+13¢$47.9K7/43by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting+13¢1¢
$47.9K7/43
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
919 YESvs1435 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $10.8K is directional: YES $10.8K·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$713.0K
Avg Win Rate
70.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$400.2K(-56.1%)
Whales
919
F
foodenjoyer🥇
Entry 57¢·411,703.5 shares
Invested
$234.2K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-234240
$-234240INV $234.2K · WR 60.2%
O
Official-Market-Maker🥈hedged
Entry 100¢·153,161.7 shares·also $2.3K on NO
Invested
$152.6K
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
$-152551
$-152551INV $152.6K · WR 87.1%
M
Magamyman◆Proven🥉
Entry 6¢·120,000 shares
Invested
$7.2K
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
$-7200
$-7200INV $7.2K · WR 76.1%
B
betwick◆Proven
Entry 2¢·171,557.2 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-2573
$-2573INV $2.6K · WR 59.8%
I
Immense-Predecessor
Entry 17¢·13,015 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-2169
$-2169INV $2.2K · WR 89.0%
C
cynical.reason
Entry 1¢·35,091.8 shares
Invested
$469
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-469
$-469INV $469 · WR 67.1%
O
Outlying-Needle
Entry 0¢·150,000 shares
Invested
$450
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
$-450
$-450INV $450 · WR 81.0%
P
PocketAcesAA
Entry 9¢·2,379.4 shares
Invested
$208
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-208
$-208INV $208 · WR 56.5%
7
0x71e11e0f...
Entry 13¢·1,529 shares
Invested
$197
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-197
$-197INV $197 · WR 55.4%
D
DickTurbin◆Proven
Entry 0¢·25,000 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-100
$-100INV $100 · WR 67.5%
Showing top 10 of 919
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.75M
Avg Win Rate
80.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$9.80M(+261.2%)
Whales
1,435
X
XAE12Archangel🥇
Entry 9¢·6,084,878.1 shares
Invested
$555.2K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$5529692
+$5529692INV $555.2K · WR 77.3%
D
debased◆Proven🥈
Entry 74¢·381,870.6 shares
Invested
$284.4K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$97474
+$97474INV $284.4K · WR 65.9%
I
influenz.eth🥉
Entry 59¢·423,948.2 shares
Invested
$250.7K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$173216
+$173216INV $250.7K · WR 85.8%
J
JAHODA
Entry 89¢·279,974 shares
Invested
$249.8K
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$30180
+$30180INV $249.8K · WR 87.4%
E
elmcap2
Entry 99¢·250,000 shares
Invested
$246.3K
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$3750
+$3750INV $246.3K · WR 88.8%
7
7G-MAN
Entry 13¢·1,878,994.5 shares
Invested
$238.6K
Win Rate
92.5%
Position P&L
+$1640438
+$1640438INV $238.6K · WR 92.5%
R
risk-manager
Entry 34¢·452,378 shares
Invested
$153.7K
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
+$298651
+$298651INV $153.7K · WR 73.6%
B
BigFishSushiChief◆Proven
Entry 55¢·239,914 shares
Invested
$133.0K
Win Rate
93.8%
Position P&L
+$106944
+$106944INV $133.0K · WR 93.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 90¢·144,898.5 shares
Invested
$130.9K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$14005
+$14005INV $130.9K · WR 57.7%
1
110088
Entry 100¢·125,118.6 shares
Invested
$124.6K
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$500
+$500INV $124.6K · WR 75.0%
Showing top 10 of 1,435
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