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Economics26 days left

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0ยข
0% implied
NO Price
100ยข
100% implied
Volume
$3.87M
11,267 trades
Smart Whales
252
of 1,189 traders ยท 2 on both sides

Fed Decision in October?

9 MARKETS ยท $25.28M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

83 YESvs171 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 20% YES by dollars ยท 37 YES vs 47 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%ยท net of hedges
+21 new YES$805+71 new NO$41.2K
$559 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
1 smart whale45 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$23 of $165.8K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $33.3KยทNO $132.5K
YES Team
Total Invested
$46.8K
Avg Win Rate
70.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$32.2K(-68.8%)
Whales
83
X
XAE12Archangel๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 17ยขยท96,238.1 shares
$-16019INV $16.5K ยท WR 77.3%
F
foodenjoyer๐Ÿฅˆ
Entry 20ยขยท62,292.8 shares
$-12178INV $12.5K ยท WR 60.2%
5
50-Pence๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 12ยขยท17,000 shares
$-2027INV $2.1K ยท WR 58.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 20ยขยท4,728.1 shares
$-924INV $946 ยท WR 87.6%
O
OrbitSugarFree
Entry 25ยขยท1,263.3 shares
$-309INV $315 ยท WR 84.8%
M
MysticFind
Entry 0ยขยท42,163.7 shares
$-21INV $211 ยท WR 90.5%
H
HolyMoses7Proven
Entry 6ยขยท2,896.7 shares
$-154INV $167 ยท WR 77.6%
S
spidermarnn
Entry 4ยขยท2,819 shares
$-93INV $106 ยท WR 75.6%
C
cryingbabydicer87
Entry 20ยขยท518.9 shares
$-101INV $104 ยท WR 57.1%
B
Bravo414
Entry 14ยขยท437.4 shares
$-61INV $63 ยท WR 64.2%
Showing top 10 of 83

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 32% YES: the Fed decrease interest rates by 25โ€ฆ