YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$3.5K
130 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 58 traders
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
3 MARKETS · $1.37M MATCHEDSmart Money
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026←
16¢−16¢$3.5K0/1Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026←−16¢16¢
$3.5K0/1
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs11 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges
+37 new YES$1.8K+37 new NO$9.4K
$620 of this was bought on both sides by the same 15 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.4K is directional: YES $31·NO $1.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$381
Avg Win Rate
75.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$38(+9.8%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.5K
Avg Win Rate
65.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.5K(+47.1%)
Whales
11
3
3648393489047🥇
Entry 53¢·11,336.9 shares
Invested
$6.0K
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
+$3544
+$3544INV $6.0K · WR 65.4%
A
AlfredTheShiller🥈
Entry 84¢·1,002.1 shares
Invested
$843
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $843 · WR 58.5%
T
Te0n2🥉
Entry 83¢·300 shares
Invested
$249
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $249 · WR 66.5%
2
2d1d7318-b632-4243-bf81-f05a4105b6e4
Entry 90¢·110 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $99 · WR 85.9%
A
Abradox
Entry 85¢·114.8 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
74.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $98 · WR 74.7%
G
ghorrock
Entry 83¢·79.8 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $66 · WR 59.3%
L
laureman
Entry 82¢·80.1 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $66 · WR 100.0%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 85¢·50 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $43 · WR 72.4%
E
Esteemed-Hydrolysis
Entry 86¢·23.5 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 75.0%
8
0x88755107...
Entry 84¢·8.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 69.0%
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