Extroverted-Pony · Polymarket wallet 0x221f…3c52

Wallet snapshot

Extroverted-Pony has made 192 trades on Polymarket across 32 markets, $18K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (56%) and politics (22%). On 25 resolved markets the win rate is 56%, lifetime P&L -$162. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Sep 19, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes · $50 · 18¢ → 6¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Yes · $17 · 18¢ → 1¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No · $0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes · -$6 · May 13, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No · +$0 · May 1, 2026
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes · +$3 · Apr 25, 2026
• Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No · +$0 · Apr 13, 2026
• Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes · +$1 · Apr 13, 2026
• US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes · -$0 · Apr 9, 2026
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?No · +$81 · Apr 5, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No · -$0 · Apr 1, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No · +$3 · Apr 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.