EconomicsResolved
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$27.99M
47,491 trades
Smart Whales
618
of 5,072 traders · 1 on both sides
Fed Decision in July?
7 MARKETS · $41.76M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting←
0¢+16¢$27.99M100/519by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting←+16¢0¢
$27.99M100/519
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+15¢$5.94M36/209by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+15¢0¢
$5.94M36/209
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
1¢+27¢$6.57M81/210by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+27¢1¢
$6.57M81/210
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
0¢+19¢$559.4K14/61by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+19¢0¢
$559.4K14/61
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢+22¢$601.4K23/78by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting+22¢1¢
$601.4K23/78
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
100 YESvs519 NO
16%84%
84% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 65% YES by dollars · 86 YES vs 360 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $128.7K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $83.8K·NO $44.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$84.1K
Avg Win Rate
61.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$83.8K(-99.6%)
Whales
100
F
foodenjoyer🥇
Entry 25¢·245,033.4 shares
Invested
$61.0K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-61042
$-61042INV $61.0K · WR 60.2%
D
debased◆Proven🥈
Entry 25¢·74,920.3 shares
Invested
$18.7K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-18711
$-18711INV $18.7K · WR 65.9%
F
Frayed-Focus🥉
Entry 20¢·15,088.5 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-3010
$-3010INV $3.0K · WR 61.1%
Y
YouSayUpISayDown
Entry 20¢·627 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-125
$-125INV $125 · WR 59.7%
S
sweetj
Entry 1¢·20,000 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-110
$-110INV $120 · WR 75.0%
M
m00n
Entry 0¢·24,000 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-96
$-96INV $96 · WR 68.4%
N
nostradamus.iz.prirechnogo
Entry 0¢·30,838.3 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $80 · WR 55.1%
H
horatio
Entry 11¢·500 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $57 · WR 57.7%
F
0xf334d438...
Entry 0¢·28,150 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $56 · WR 61.8%
I
itsjustcheddar
Entry 5¢·1,095.4 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $50 · WR 80.8%
Showing top 10 of 100
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.52M
Avg Win Rate
87.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.14M(+41.8%)
Whales
519
E
elmcap2🥇
Entry 100¢·4,875,898.3 shares
Invested
$4.87M
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$10140
+$10140INV $4.87M · WR 88.8%
J
JAHODA🥈
Entry 99¢·1,028,946.6 shares
Invested
$1.02M
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$9079
+$9079INV $1.02M · WR 87.4%
T
TheReturnOfDarthMaul🥉
Entry 97¢·226,826.8 shares
Invested
$220.0K
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
+$6818
+$6818INV $220.0K · WR 62.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 99¢·171,370.5 shares
Invested
$169.1K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$2288
+$2288INV $169.1K · WR 87.7%
R
ranger44
Entry 99¢·139,224.2 shares
Invested
$137.8K
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$1422
+$1422INV $137.8K · WR 83.3%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 49¢·161,991.3 shares
Invested
$79.1K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$82880
+$82880INV $79.1K · WR 85.8%
H
hideo
Entry 100¢·75,301.3 shares
Invested
$75.0K
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
+$301
+$301INV $75.0K · WR 75.4%
I
i18z
Entry 97¢·59,426.1 shares
Invested
$57.6K
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$1831
+$1831INV $57.6K · WR 87.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 98¢·58,132.7 shares
Invested
$57.0K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1102
+$1102INV $57.0K · WR 79.6%
D
d1k21
Entry 100¢·55,750 shares
Invested
$55.6K
Win Rate
71.5%
Position P&L
+$172
+$172INV $55.6K · WR 71.5%
Showing top 10 of 519
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