EconomicsResolved
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$153.32M
134,927 trades
Smart Whales
3031
of 27,628 traders
Fed decision in March?
7 MARKETS · $166.71M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+15¢$5.94M36/209by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+15¢0¢
$5.94M36/209
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
1¢+27¢$6.21M81/210by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+27¢1¢
$6.21M81/210
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢+18¢$552.4K14/61by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+18¢1¢
$552.4K14/61
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢+22¢$600.3K23/78by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting+22¢1¢
$600.3K23/78
by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting
1¢+13¢$38.3K7/43by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting+13¢1¢
$38.3K7/43
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1024 YESvs2007 NO
34%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $9.1K is directional: YES $9.1K·NO $15YES Team
Total Invested
$648.2K
Avg Win Rate
84.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$9.3K(-1.4%)
Whales
1,024
I
Immense-Predecessor🥇
Entry 50¢·13,015 shares
Invested
$6.5K
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-6508
$-6508INV $6.5K · WR 89.0%
X
XAE12Archangel🥈
Entry 0¢·1,473,933 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
$-2339
$-2339INV $2.3K · WR 77.3%
J
Juanolo🥉hedged
Entry 0¢·124,622.5 shares·also $202.6K on NO
Invested
$249
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-249
$-249INV $249 · WR 75.8%
W
wenyu888888
Entry 2¢·10,000 shares
Invested
$172
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-172
$-172INV $172 · WR 55.0%
P
PocketAcesAA
Entry 1¢·2,348.6 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $21 · WR 56.5%
F
FreeCityIndividual◆Proven
Entry 2¢·750 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 63.9%
M
mango-lassi◆Proven
Entry 0¢·297,473.6 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $14 · WR 67.4%
B
BigFishSushiChief◆Proven
Entry 0¢·500 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
93.8%
Position P&L
—
—INV $0 · WR 93.8%
Showing top 8 of 1,024
NO Team
Total Invested
$11.63M
Avg Win Rate
81.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.80M(+58.5%)
Whales
2,007
C
CongMingLabs🥇
Entry 100¢·9,907,003.1 shares
Invested
$9.90M
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
+$10816
+$10816INV $9.90M · WR 81.0%
J
Juanolo🥈hedged
Entry 100¢·203,008.2 shares·also $249 on YES
Invested
$202.6K
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$406
+$406INV $202.6K · WR 75.8%
C
Compassionate-Kneejerk🥉
Entry 100¢·180,000 shares
Invested
$179.8K
Win Rate
90.5%
Position P&L
+$180
+$180INV $179.8K · WR 90.5%
H
Hmstr
Entry 100¢·162,846.1 shares
Invested
$162.5K
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$326
+$326INV $162.5K · WR 87.5%
R
Robercik
Entry 100¢·122,767.5 shares
Invested
$122.6K
Win Rate
90.2%
Position P&L
+$123
+$123INV $122.6K · WR 90.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 62¢·165,065.1 shares
Invested
$101.6K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$63484
+$63484INV $101.6K · WR 57.7%
7
7G-MAN
Entry 4¢·1,817,863 shares
Invested
$79.3K
Win Rate
92.5%
Position P&L
+$1738556
+$1738556INV $79.3K · WR 92.5%
R
risk-manager
Entry 1¢·623,430.6 shares
Invested
$7.4K
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
+$616043
+$616043INV $7.4K · WR 73.6%
F
foodenjoyer
Entry 1¢·619,847.7 shares
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$615641
+$615641INV $4.2K · WR 60.2%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 1¢·381,395.2 shares
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$377967
+$377967INV $3.4K · WR 85.8%
Showing top 10 of 2,007
Smart Whale Trades
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