Economics107 days left
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$55.2K
836 trades
Smart Whales
47
of 195 traders
Fed Decision in January?
9 MARKETS · $14.02M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+15¢$5.94M36/209by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+15¢0¢
$5.94M36/209
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
1¢+27¢$6.58M81/210by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+27¢1¢
$6.58M81/210
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
0¢+19¢$560.4K14/61by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+19¢0¢
$560.4K14/61
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢+22¢$601.4K23/78by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting+22¢1¢
$601.4K23/78
by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting
1¢+13¢$47.9K7/43by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting+13¢1¢
$47.9K7/43
by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting←
2¢+14¢$55.2K7/38by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting←+14¢2¢
$55.2K7/38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting
64¢−38¢$89.2K14/40Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting−38¢64¢
$89.2K14/40
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs40 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%
+5 new YES$92+16 new NO$2.8K
0 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.3K is directional: YES $218·NO $1.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$291
Avg Win Rate
68.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$145(-50.0%)
Whales
7
C
Copezilla🥇
Entry 11¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-88
$-88INV $110 · WR 70.5%
D
Donkov🥈
Entry 4¢·2,015.6 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $77 · WR 69.4%
B
bakayo33 - 9934🥉
Entry 15¢·200 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $29 · WR 60.5%
M
MrIdiotPigeon
Entry 5¢·20 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 62.5%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 2¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
—
—INV $0 · WR 66.8%
Showing top 5 of 7
NO Team
Total Invested
$12.1K
Avg Win Rate
81.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$9.4K(+77.4%)
Whales
40
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 53¢·4,269.1 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1928
+$1928INV $2.2K · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 52¢·2,767.1 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$1277
+$1277INV $1.4K · WR 72.2%
D
0xd32ce89f...◆Proven🥉
Entry 51¢·2,596.4 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
+$1212
+$1212INV $1.3K · WR 83.5%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 51¢·2,282.4 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$1067
+$1067INV $1.2K · WR 88.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·2,297.9 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1098
+$1098INV $1.1K · WR 85.9%
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven
Entry 86¢·1,182.2 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$140
+$140INV $1.0K · WR 64.4%
Q
QMG-CORE
Entry 95¢·1,032.7 shares
Invested
$983
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $983 · WR 81.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·1,222.8 shares
Invested
$615
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$581
+$581INV $615 · WR 79.6%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 50¢·829.5 shares
Invested
$415
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$396
+$396INV $415 · WR 84.5%
L
lin20261
Entry 50¢·429 shares
Invested
$215
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$205
+$205INV $215 · WR 85.7%
Showing top 10 of 40
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