Geopolitics79 days left
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$221.5K
2,630 trades
Smart Whales
58
of 427 traders
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
6 MARKETS · $1.24M MATCHEDSmart Money
a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium
10¢+35¢$186.4K21/26a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium+35¢10¢
$186.4K21/26
any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)
15¢+28¢$222.8K23/30any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)+28¢15¢
$222.8K23/30
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
26 YESvs32 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 18 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%
+2 new YES$14+2 new NO$88
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $14.8K is directional: YES $2.3K·NO $12.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$6.4K
Avg Win Rate
63.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.9K(-45.4%)
Whales
26
P
paddaa🥇hedged
Entry 42¢·4,493.6 shares·also $996 on NO
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-1260
$-1260INV $1.9K · WR 61.1%
D
denizz◆Proven🥈
Entry 28¢·3,615.7 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-504
$-504INV $1.0K · WR 68.6%
W
Warren-Buffett◆Proven🥉
Entry 11¢·8,808.6 shares
Invested
$935
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$299
+$299INV $935 · WR 65.5%
7
0x7678aa83...hedged
Entry 84¢·806 shares·also $74 on NO
Invested
$676
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-563
$-563INV $676 · WR 56.5%
V
viniihedged
Entry 21¢·3,156.8 shares·also $578 on NO
Invested
$654
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-212
$-212INV $654 · WR 65.8%
P
peterfromfamilyguy
Entry 127¢·406 shares
Invested
$516
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-459
$-459INV $516 · WR 60.5%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 31¢·500 shares·also $355 on NO
Invested
$155
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-85
$-85INV $155 · WR 66.9%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 28¢·300 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $84 · WR 70.5%
P
Porx
Entry 31¢·223.6 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $69 · WR 65.9%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 17¢·400 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $68 · WR 69.8%
Showing top 10 of 26
NO Team
Total Invested
$15.5K
Avg Win Rate
62.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.8K(+24.2%)
Whales
32
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 90¢·7,042.7 shares
Invested
$6.4K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-306
$-306INV $6.4K · WR 57.7%
H
hopedieslast🥈
Entry 85¢·1,772.1 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $1.5K · WR 56.5%
D
DooBieZ🥉
Entry 84¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $1.3K · WR 62.8%
P
paddaahedged
Entry 25¢·4,000.8 shares·also $1.9K on YES
Invested
$996
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$2444
+$2444INV $996 · WR 61.1%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 90¢·1,041.8 shares
Invested
$933
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $933 · WR 74.2%
V
viniihedged
Entry 39¢·1,499.6 shares·also $654 on YES
Invested
$578
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$711
+$711INV $578 · WR 65.8%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven
Entry 73¢·666 shares
Invested
$486
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$87
+$87INV $486 · WR 90.9%
F
FishermansFiend
Entry 74¢·586.1 shares
Invested
$435
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $435 · WR 71.9%
N
nedsta
Entry 79¢·497.1 shares
Invested
$391
Win Rate
87.8%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $391 · WR 87.8%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 71¢·500.2 shares·also $155 on YES
Invested
$355
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $355 · WR 66.9%
Showing top 10 of 32
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