Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 12% or more?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$1.7K
55 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 41 traders
MT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $30.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 24% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $184 is directional: YES $43·NO $141YES Team
Total Invested
$43
Avg Win Rate
62.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$35(-80.8%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$394
Avg Win Rate
81.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$291(+73.8%)
Whales
10
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 99¢·143.5 shares
Invested
$142
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $142 · WR 87.7%
M
Malganis🥈
Entry 95¢·143.5 shares
Invested
$136
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $136 · WR 73.2%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 98¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $39 · WR 79.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 99¢·33 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $33 · WR 89.0%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 86.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 87.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 99¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 66.7%
P
probability◆Proven
Entry 0¢·270 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$267
+$267INV $0 · WR 61.1%
L
lpgb
Entry 0¢·16.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $0 · WR 71.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 0¢·1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 87.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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