Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 12% or more?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$1.8K
75 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 55 traders
MT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $30.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs10 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 57% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $102 is directional: YES $58·NO $43YES Team
Total Invested
$58
Avg Win Rate
66.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$58(-99.4%)
Whales
7
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥇
Entry 8¢·344 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $26 · WR 62.1%
S
sweetj🥈
Entry 7¢·245.2 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $18 · WR 72.2%
M
mariacryptoss🥉
Entry 8¢·84.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 62.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 8¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 71.9%
O
oneoftheppl◆Proven
Entry 9¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 63.3%
L
lpgb
Entry 8¢·16.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 71.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 8¢·7.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 79.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$577
Avg Win Rate
74.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$10(+1.8%)
Whales
10
P
probability◆Proven🥇
Entry 100¢·270 shares
Invested
$269
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $269 · WR 61.1%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 97¢·143.5 shares
Invested
$139
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $139 · WR 87.7%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 97¢·40 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $39 · WR 87.4%
N
neverhackme
Entry 97¢·40 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $39 · WR 75.2%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 100¢·33 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $33 · WR 86.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $30 · WR 86.1%
C
C.PM
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 82.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 90¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 87.5%
R
Revolving-Stimulus-Pride
Entry 90¢·5.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 87.6%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 95¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 66.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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