Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 9%-12%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$908
49 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 38 traders
MT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $30.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs10 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 92% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $57 is directional: YES $52·NO $5YES Team
Total Invested
$52
Avg Win Rate
61.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$40(-76.3%)
Whales
4
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥇
Entry 7¢·549.5 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $37 · WR 62.1%
P
probability◆Proven🥈
Entry 8¢·197 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $15 · WR 61.1%
P
ProvidingExitLiq🥉
Entry 1¢·40 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 64.0%
R
RayGuy
Entry 1¢·40 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 56.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$288
Avg Win Rate
84.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$21(+7.4%)
Whales
10
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 96¢·143.5 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $138 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 99¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $40 · WR 71.9%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 92¢·33 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $30 · WR 87.5%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 98¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $29 · WR 86.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 99¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 79.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 89.0%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 98¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 88.6%
L
Loose-Alloy
Entry 100¢·5.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 77.8%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 97¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 66.7%
L
lpgb
Entry 0¢·16.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $0 · WR 71.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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