Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 9%-12%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$3.0K
109 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 63 traders
MT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $30.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs8 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 32% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $136 is directional: YES $44·NO $93YES Team
Total Invested
$44
Avg Win Rate
65.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$43(-99.3%)
Whales
4
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥇
Entry 8¢·385 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $30 · WR 62.1%
S
sweetj🥈
Entry 5¢·190.2 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 72.2%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 8¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 71.9%
L
lpgb
Entry 8¢·16.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 71.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$305
Avg Win Rate
80.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$31(+10.2%)
Whales
8
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 91¢·143.5 shares
Invested
$131
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $131 · WR 87.7%
F
fkpa🥈
Entry 78¢·70 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $55 · WR 62.2%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 96¢·34 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $33 · WR 87.5%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $30 · WR 86.1%
P
probability◆Proven
Entry 100¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 61.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 97¢·18.4 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $18 · WR 79.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 88.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 88¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 86.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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