Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 6%-9%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$1.8K
78 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 52 traders
MT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $30.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs9 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 91% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $43 is directional: YES $39·NO $4YES Team
Total Invested
$39
Avg Win Rate
62.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$39(-99.3%)
Whales
5
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥇
Entry 8¢·304 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $23 · WR 62.1%
P
probability◆Proven🥈
Entry 8¢·187 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $14 · WR 61.1%
L
lpgb🥉
Entry 8¢·16.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 71.6%
P
ProvidingExitLiq
Entry 0¢·34.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 64.0%
R
RayGuy
Entry 0¢·20 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 56.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$266
Avg Win Rate
84.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$20(+7.6%)
Whales
9
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 93¢·143.5 shares
Invested
$133
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $133 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 99¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $40 · WR 71.9%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 94¢·33 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $31 · WR 86.1%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 94¢·30 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $28 · WR 86.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 94¢·13.3 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $12 · WR 79.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 92¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 88.5%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 83¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 89.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 81¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 66.7%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 1¢·1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 86.6%
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